Tag Archive for 'SoundScan'

How Low Can Album Sales Go?

Spotted on: Digital Music News

It’s nothing new that the music industry is experiencing a steady downward trend in album sales. A few years ago, chart toppers were moving millions of albums a week. This trend isn’t just continuing, it’s advancing. For the first quarter of 2008, albums sales were down 10.7% from the same period last year, according to SoundScan figures.

As if that isn’t enough, last week’s sales showed an almost 25% drop from last year, and the number one album sold 166,000 copies. This is a very impressive figure for a mid level label, and indie labels would breaking out the champagne, but for transnational companies whose yearly sales are in the billions, these figures point a major crisis. The boat isn’t just taking on water anymore, it’s halfway under the waves.

It’s important to note that this measures only physical sales, and beyond that, only albums registered with SoundScan. While physical sales are traditionally the most lucrative part of the music business, digital sales are where the action – and the money – is at now.

People are still buying music, and billions of dollars worth of it. What’s shifted is the variety that is being bought is expanding at an exponential rate – an alarming development for the companies who invest millions into a single artist. The market isn’t so much evolving anymore, it’s already evolved. The focus around 360 deals is a perfect example of the shift the flow of money around music.

With the the combination of iTunes, Amazon, eMusic, and the army of other digital music sites that now dominate the market, the entry of Wal-Mart, Target and other major retailers into full scale album sales, and the diversity of music offered to people through social networking and file sharing, the business of selling music isn’t the same business it was five years ago; in many ways it isn’t the same business it was two years ago.

The issue at hand isn’t so much the collapse of physical sales as it is the diversifying of people’s tastes. Music is so easy to create and distribute now that the choices are nearly limitless. Anyone with a few ideas and a computer can have an album out on the web for sale, and even produce physical copies cheaply.

So how low can album sales go?

In my opinion, we’re nearing the bottom of the spiral. Physical sales may shrink a bit more, it seems that at this point the only people buying physcail albums are the ones who want the album, and fans can always be counted on to support artists.

I’m not a soothsayer, but I predict that 2008 is the year we see a major shift in the way major labels conduct business, adopting more elements of the DIY and underground communities in signing, developing and marketing artist.

Bottom Line: Sales figures measure something in reality. In reality, the music business is a brand new entity. Welcome to the Age of Variety.

Speak Clearly (Jargon on a Tangent)

Spotted on: New York Times, Globe and Mail
As the end of the year statistics for the music industry are released, I keep noticing a common tone of these articles. They all seem to be written about the six major record labels, and iTunes. As an artist and independent label owner (ergo, part of the music industry), these articles seem counter-intuitive to the way my peers and I conduct ourselves.

“Yet the industry as a whole still remains uncertain” is my favorite quote from this article. What is uncertain about the industry? People continue to buy music they enjoy, and more of them are buying it online. This has made it easier for anyone with ambition to get into the game. The only unclear thing I see is the fate of these transnational conglomerates.

So the major labels finally accept we don’t want to pay more than ten bucks for CDs, and we don’t like DRM. Somehow, no matter how much money these huge companies make, they are continually complaining about what they are losing. If they focus on what’s missing and wrong with their model, it takes the attention off why their model used to work. The NYT article states that ‘some estimates’ put the annual economy of music at around $75 billion. So what does that number really mean?

The music economy is vast, and a huge chunk of it rests in the hands of a few companies. These are the same companies that built their empire by taking the creative ownership over music in an unclear way, or by inventing a myriad of operating fees and loans to assess to artists like student loans. It’s a similar story to how Europeans ‘bought’ Manhattan. You offer someone a gift, or a show of support, and you ask for something. Instead of explaining what you are going to take, you smile and get them to agree to it. Once they sign a piece of paper, you force them to agree to your interpretation of the words through litigation, or worse. In the latter case, it was genocide, in the former, it is the complete monopolization of the music that we listen to.

Musicians have been getting this treatment since the phonograph was invented. Look at the story of the Funk Brothers (for those who don’t know, they were the Motown backup band from 1959-1972). This group of musicians played on more hit albums than any band in music history, and no one even knows who they are (Motown is now owned by Universal, btw). Like so many other extraordinary musicians, fame and success was pushed out of their reach, as the music they created went on to make a fortune.

So where is all that money? If this NYT article is any indicator, the only ones talking are the major labels. Do you think they’re going to present an unbiased opinion? These major corporations are complaining about how much content we aren’t paying for, and how their sales are down, and the whole time they are becoming more valuable companies.
According to a recent Globe and Mail article, there have been about 20 songs sold for every iPod bought. In fact, iPod users are not buying massive amounts of music like people did when CD Players were first introduced. The main source of the article is Josh Bernoff, a well known media and entertainment analyst. In fact, Mr. Bentoff notes that there is a huge slump in music sales in the second half of 2006. People are converting their CDs for use on other platforms. It would seem that people (known as consumers by these corporate monoliths) only want to buy the same product once. And who can blame us?

Which brings us back to the major labels, and the NYT article. The article points out that major labels are now asking for a cut of artist’s tour and merchandise revenue. Apparently, this has become a standard practice in major label deals. So on one side of their face, the major labels are crying poverty, and saying they need to take more from their artists. Yet in the same article, there are admissions that the companies are growing in value. Can you say cognitive dissonance?

Freedom of choice in music is infectious, and the supply has truly outpaced the demand. The days of an album sitting at number one are gone, and this a great thing for those of us who do not have access to mainstream press and media outlets. People buy more CDs when they are reasonably priced, and artists are still selling albums at the ridiculous prices. The major labels cry that they have to protect their interests with DRM, when their customers mostly use more than one format for listening to music. Music is a form of expression that is meant to be shared, not kept to oneself. The technicalities of software licensing and piracy are not applicable to music, and DRM is another way of saying we’re not buying art, we’re buying a product. And worse, that a CD album is different thing that an MP3 album, or even a .wma album. People aren’t that easily fooled, though. Sales reflect it.

Clearly, lots of people are buying music, and most of it is going to the huge companies to dole out as they please. People don’t buy music because it’s on the radio, or plastered in magazines, they buy it because it moves them. Major labels use record spins and downloads as a measure of success, when they are paying for the spins and driving downloads with ubiquitousness rather than genuine interest. Their multi platinum artists bounce up and down their charts like a basketball, and they refuse to see that’s how we want it. They want to tell us what a CD is worth, and tell us how we can listen to our music. These business practices only work when you have a strangelhold. In most other industries, a company is required to respond to their customers needs to stay in business. When your business model is based on dictating people’s choices, it’s no wonder that freedom of choice is such a threat. The means of production continue to only grow, and our choices with them. The 21st century king of the hill is not the only choice, it is the one the customer enjoys the most.

Music doesn’t seem to speak for itself anymore in their eyes. These companies view artistic output in the same way they view the final result: as a product. Their industry trends are an academic discussion that has completely left the real world. They could have conducted an informal phone poll to come up with the conclusion that CDs are overpriced. Record shoppes are paying more than the iTunes price for an album in some cases. The real issue is what people are willing to pay for, and to deal with that, you must listen, not dictate.
2006 is coming to a close, and the very foundations of how music is distributed and sold began a major transformation this year. According to Josh Bernoff, we’ll all be going digital by 2010. The major labels are slicing up the pie already, but in the age of choice, they may end up with empty plates.

File Sharing as a Marketing Report…

Spotted on Techdirt

A recent Wall Street Journal article talked about how the music industry is extending their influence into the world of file sharing. Jay-Z and Coca Cola recently agreed to allow an eight minute video clip to hit the p2p networks, hoping that the exposure for the soda will be worth giving the content away. With this turn of events, major companies are changing their position on file sharing, and admitting that people sharing music online are fans, and maybe the most loyal fans of all.

The new mode of thinking by transnational entertainment conglomerates appears to be ‘if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.’ Groups like Big Champagne are collecting data about all of the files shared online (see this article on them in Wired), and the major labels are using those stats to measure public interest in music at the most specific levels.

It doesn’t take much to realize that the people sharing music for free online are still buying media of some kind, but it’s still surprising the see major media companies admitting to this. By using services like Big Champagne, marketing departments will tweak their promotional schemes based on what’s hot. If major labels know that a track is generating huge interest on Bit Torrent in a particular city, they can just invest in heavy radio rotation on that area.

It seems we will soon be seeing more and more marketing from major brands and labels popping up on peer to peer networks. Just like product placement changed advertising in TV and movies, the p2p networks will soon fill up with free content designed to create brand loyalty and sell products. I wouldn’t be surprised to see corporate sponsorship of p2p networks in a few years, in return for premium advertising, or built in ads on p2p software platforms.

Now that Big Champagne has partnered with SoundScan, the major companies have access to the listening preferences of the largest group of consumers they have ever had access to. The rest of us will be locked out of this system in the same way we always have been.

The co-opting of the p2p landscape by corporate interests will merely push listeners on to a new platform. Considering the continuing row about DRM, it will be interesting to see how that is countered. As mega corporations pour more and more content and marketing tactics into file sharing, and continue to tune their marketing, it will invite a new platform to emerge in the underground of the interweb. Or maybe we’ll all just head back to IRC channels.

The good news is that by shifting their step, the major labels are also admitting defeat to file sharers. The fact that they are now using it as a marketing resource is the only proof required to see that they have lost their battle to control the freedom of information.

Of course, through all of this, there is still very little discussion about what the artist is getting out of all these deals, or even the value of artistic integrity.




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